Trzy prognozy, te same mecze, punktowane jawnie. Model Arise (zamrożony przed turniejem) obok rynku Polymarket i bukmachera — niższy Brier = celniej. Nie pokazujemy "bijemy rynek"; pokazujemy log i pozwalamy sprawdzić, czy modele cokolwiek wiedzą. Wyniki czytane z rozstrzygnięć rynków PM.
Brier (0 = idealnie, niżej lepiej) liczony tylko na rozegranych meczach. Kolumny H / D / A = dom / remis / wyjazd. v = nasz faworyt. Δ = o ile model odjeżdża od rynku na swoim faworycie.
| mecz | model | rynek | book | wynik | Bᴹ | Bᴾ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 cze | ||||||
| South KoreavCzechia | 482627 | 363133 | 363133 | — | · | · |
| MexicovSouth Africa | 75168 | 692111 | 672211 | — | · | · |
| 12 cze | ||||||
| CanadavBosnia and Herzegovina | 652014 | 542619 | — | — | · | · |
| United StatesvParaguay | 652015 | 492823 | 482824 | —+16 | · | · |
| 13 cze | ||||||
| AustraliavTürkiye | 342640 | 182655 | 202654 | —-15 | · | · |
| BrazilvMorocco | 382636 | 582417 | 582517 | —-20 | · | · |
| HaitivScotland | 142264 | 142165 | 152264 | — | · | · |
| QatarvSwitzerland | 152262 | 71480 | 71578 | —-17 | · | · |
| 14 cze | ||||||
| Ivory CoastvEcuador | 302644 | 273440 | 263440 | — | · | · |
| GermanyvCuraçao | 88112 | 9442 | 9352 | — | · | · |
| NetherlandsvJapan | 482626 | 482625 | 482626 | — | · | · |
| SwedenvTunisia | 412633 | 502822 | 502822 | — | · | · |
| 15 cze | ||||||
| BelgiumvEgypt | 602317 | 592517 | 572518 | — | · | · |
| SpainvCape Verde | 8991 | 9073 | 8894 | — | · | · |
| IranvNew Zealand | 79155 | 502821 | 502822 | —+29 | · | · |
| Saudi ArabiavUruguay | 112069 | 122166 | 132265 | — | · | · |
| 16 cze | ||||||
| ArgentinavAlgeria | 75177 | 692010 | 682111 | — | · | · |
| AustriavJordan | 642214 | 741710 | 721710 | — | · | · |
| FrancevSenegal | 602317 | 672012 | 652113 | — | · | · |
| IraqvNorway | 242550 | 61380 | 71479 | —-30 | · | · |
| 17 cze | ||||||
| EnglandvCroatia | 512524 | 562519 | 552520 | — | · | · |
| GhanavPanama | 162361 | 462726 | 472726 | —+35 | · | · |
| PortugalvDR Congo | 73189 | 76167 | 75179 | — | · | · |
| UzbekistanvColombia | 122167 | 102069 | 122168 | — | · | · |
| 18 cze | ||||||
| CanadavQatar | 582220 | 74178 | 72199 | —-16 | · | · |
| SwitzerlandvBosnia and Herzegovina | 702010 | 602417 | — | — | · | · |
| CzechiavSouth Africa | 472628 | 492822 | 482923 | — | · | · |
| MexicovSouth Korea | 562321 | 532720 | 522721 | — | · | · |
| 19 cze | ||||||
| BrazilvHaiti | 88102 | 9163 | 8983 | — | · | · |
| ScotlandvMorocco | 112069 | 222850 | 232948 | —+19 | · | · |
| TürkiyevParaguay | 502525 | 433027 | 433028 | — | · | · |
| United StatesvAustralia | 562322 | 552420 | 552520 | — | · | · |
| 20 cze | ||||||
| EcuadorvCuraçao | 75188 | 81127 | 79147 | — | · | · |
| GermanyvIvory Coast | 622216 | 622017 | 612217 | — | · | · |
| NetherlandsvSweden | 682112 | 592317 | 582418 | — | · | · |
| TunisiavJapan | 172361 | 172756 | 202753 | — | · | · |
| 21 cze | ||||||
| BelgiumvIran | 522523 | 702011 | 672012 | —-17 | · | · |
| SpainvSaudi Arabia | 88102 | 8894 | 86104 | — | · | · |
| New ZealandvEgypt | 91873 | 192555 | 202655 | —+18 | · | · |
| UruguayvCape Verde | 75188 | 682011 | 662113 | — | · | · |
| 22 cze | ||||||
| ArgentinavAustria | 72199 | 602416 | 572518 | —+12 | · | · |
| FrancevIraq | 87112 | 87104 | 84114 | — | · | · |
| JordanvAlgeria | 172360 | 142264 | 152362 | — | · | · |
| NorwayvSenegal | 222553 | 452628 | 452728 | —+25 | · | · |
| 23 cze | ||||||
| ColombiavDR Congo | 652214 | 662211 | 642313 | — | · | · |
| EnglandvGhana | 89102 | 741710 | 721810 | —+15 | · | · |
| PanamavCroatia | 182359 | 122265 | 142363 | — | · | · |
| PortugalvUzbekistan | 75178 | 78147 | 75169 | — | · | · |
| 24 cze | ||||||
| Bosnia and HerzegovinavQatar | 292645 | 622415 | — | —+30 | · | · |
| SwitzerlandvCanada | 422534 | 442927 | 452827 | — | · | · |
| CzechiavMexico | 142066 | 202752 | 222751 | —+14 | · | · |
| MoroccovHaiti | 88102 | 74189 | 711910 | —+15 | · | · |
| South AfricavSouth Korea | 192458 | 232849 | 252847 | — | · | · |
| ScotlandvBrazil | 102070 | 142067 | 152164 | — | · | · |
| 25 cze | ||||||
| EcuadorvGermany | 212454 | 192457 | 202556 | — | · | · |
| JapanvSweden | 562420 | 462826 | 452827 | — | · | · |
| CuraçaovIvory Coast | 122068 | 71478 | 81676 | — | · | · |
| ParaguayvAustralia | 282646 | 443026 | 432927 | —+20 | · | · |
| TunisiavNetherlands | 91972 | 142165 | 152362 | — | · | · |
| TürkiyevUnited States | 242352 | 362836 | 352837 | —+16 | · | · |
| 26 cze | ||||||
| Cape VerdevSaudi Arabia | 312643 | 372835 | 362935 | — | · | · |
| EgyptvIran | 302644 | 423226 | 413128 | —+18 | · | · |
| NorwayvFrance | 71776 | 222652 | 222652 | —+24 | · | · |
| New ZealandvBelgium | 21088 | 81675 | 101773 | —+13 | · | · |
| SenegalvIraq | 672112 | 672012 | 652213 | — | · | · |
| UruguayvSpain | 152262 | 172459 | 182458 | — | · | · |
| 27 cze | ||||||
| AlgeriavAustria | 342640 | 293042 | 283042 | — | · | · |
| DR CongovUzbekistan | 392635 | 422929 | 412930 | — | · | · |
| ColombiavPortugal | 292645 | 272845 | 282944 | — | · | · |
| CroatiavGhana | 82144 | 572617 | 572518 | —+24 | · | · |
| JordanvArgentina | 21089 | 61281 | 81478 | — | · | · |
| PanamavEngland | 91873 | 91676 | 121672 | — | · | · |